01The thesis: the launch is decided before the campaign exists
Almost every launch plan starts with communication: the concept, the customer event, the media plan. It is the visible part, so it gets approved first. But communication amplifies distribution that does not exist yet. You end up paying for consumers to ask for a product they cannot find.
We argue the opposite. A launch is a sequence of commercial decisions in a fixed order, and communication comes last. First you decide the entry segment. Then the channel. Then the distributor. Then the list price and the margin for each link in the chain. Then the point-of-sale materials and who produces them. Only then does it make sense to talk about a campaign, because you already know where the product will be and at what price the buyer will see it.
If the product is not on the shelf the day the campaign goes live, the campaign works for the competition.
Each decision has a deliverable and an owner, and it is signed off before moving to the next one. That is the logic behind our product launch plan in the Dominican Republic.
| Decision | Deliverable | Who signs off |
|---|---|---|
| Entry segment | Prioritized segments and starting geographic zone | CEO / general management |
| Channel | Role of each channel and order of entry | General management and sales |
| Distributor | Chosen distributor, terms and joint plan | Sales director |
| Price and margins | Price waterfall from consumer price to list price | General management and finance |
| Point of sale | Kit by channel, owners for design, production and installation | Marketing director |
| Measurement | Sell-in and sell-out baseline and KPI dashboard | General management |
02Decision 1: the entry segment and zone
The most expensive opening mistake is launching "nationwide." Greater Santo Domingo, Santiago and the rest of the Cibao, the tourist East and the South have different commercial structures, distributors and buying habits. A national launch on day one spreads the point-of-sale budget so thin that it shows up nowhere.
The right question is where you can win first and learn fastest. The winnability matrix scores each combination of segment and zone by volume, by how reachable it is today and by its value. A large segment that current distribution cannot reach does not go first, however attractive it looks.
Criteria for choosing the starting zone
- The candidate distributor's real coverage. Not what it claims, but the routes it runs every week and the points of sale it serves frequently.
- Density of the channel you want to test. If the launch thesis depends on colmados, the neighborhood corner stores, the zone needs a high density of them and a distributor that visits them.
- Supervision capacity. If nobody can check displays and stockouts every week, the zone is too big.
- Representativeness. A tourist hub where most consumers are foreign teaches you little about the rest of the country.
A good entry segment fits in one sentence with three elements: which buyer, in which channel and in which zone. "Middle-income households that shop at colmados in Santiago" is a segment. "The Dominican consumer" is not.
03Decision 2: the channel and the distributor
In consumer goods, the manufacturer or importer almost never reaches the point of sale alone. Between the warehouse and the shelf sit distributors, wholesalers, sub-distributors and, in modern trade, the chains' buying departments. Choosing a channel means deciding what role each one plays. Choosing a distributor means deciding who gets the keys to that channel. We cover it in depth in the guide to distribution channels in the Dominican Republic; here we stay with the launch decision.
Types of distributor and when each one makes sense
| Option | When it works | When it doesn't | Main risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exclusive national distributor | A new category that needs a push and a single commercial voice | When it does not truly cover the zones and channels you want to activate | Depending on a third party that prioritizes other brands in its portfolio |
| Distributors by zone | Uneven coverage between Santo Domingo, the Cibao and the East | When nobody coordinates prices and terms among them | Price wars between zones and product crossing territory lines |
| Direct sales to chains, distributor for traditional trade | A brand with its own sales structure and defined key accounts | When the team cannot sustain negotiations with the chains | Treating the distributor as a second choice and losing its push |
| Own distribution | Volume that justifies a fleet, routes and pre-selling | In a first launch with no sales-velocity history | High fixed cost before you know whether the product sells through |
How to assess a distributor before signing
You judge a distributor by what it does, not by its presentation. These questions need answers backed by evidence:
- Routes and frequency. Which zones it visits and how often, by type of outlet. Deliverable: coverage map.
- Portfolio. Which other brands it carries in the category. If you compete with its lead brand, you will find out in month three.
- Sales force. How its reps are paid. A rep paid only on volume pushes what already sells.
- Information. Whether it reports sales by customer, zone and week. Without this there is no measurable sell-out.
- Credit. How it finances colmados and wholesalers, which in traditional trade is part of the commercial offer.
The agreement with the distributor is a joint launch plan: coverage targets by wave, visit commitments and shared data. If it refuses to share data, leadership has to know it will be launching blind.
04Decision 3: the list price and margins along the chain
Price for a consumer launch is designed the opposite way from how it is usually done. The habit is to start from cost, add your own margin and let each link add its own. The result is a consumer price nobody chose, and it often lands outside the range where the entry segment buys.
The right order starts with the end buyer: the consumer price the segment accepts compared with its alternatives. From there you subtract, working backward, the tax and the margin each link needs. What is left is the maximum list price. If that price does not cover cost and target margin, negotiation will not fix it. You have to change the format, the size, the segment or the channel.
Price waterfall template
| Link | What you need to set | Control question |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer price | Target price and price of direct alternatives | Is it within the range where the entry segment buys? |
| Taxes | Tax treatment of the product, validated with an advisor | Does the consumer price already include it, and is it calculated correctly? |
| Retailer margin | Margin the colmado or chain needs to give it space | Is it comparable to the category, or does it need to be offset? |
| Wholesaler or sub-distributor margin | Margin and credit terms | Does it have a reason to buy from this distributor and not another? |
| Distributor margin | Margin, volume discounts and support | Is it worth the effort of introducing a new brand? |
| List price | Price the brand invoices at | Does it cover cost, target margin and point-of-sale investment? |
Fill in the table with your real numbers. When a link is unclear, the sales team finds out from the distributor and from a handful of outlets in the starting zone, using a fixed interview script.
Three rules that prevent most problems
- One list price per channel and per wave. Exceptions are documented and expire.
- Launch promotions carry an announced end date. If the promotional price becomes the reference price, raising it later costs you sales velocity.
- The suggested retail price travels with the point-of-sale materials. If it is not visible in the store, every link sets its own.
05Decision 4: point-of-sale materials and who produces them
Point-of-sale materials are where the most budget disappears without anyone noticing. Pieces are designed for the supermarket that do not fit in a colmado, print runs are sized for the whole country in the first wave, and nobody checks whether what left the warehouse was ever installed. The decision is not which pieces to make. It is what each channel needs for the product to be seen and understood, and who answers for each step.
Owners-by-piece template
| Piece | Channel | Designs | Produces | Installs | Verifies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shelf strip or price tag | Modern | Agency | Print supplier | Brand or chain merchandiser | Weekly audit during the wave |
| Counter display | Traditional | Agency | Display supplier | Distributor's rep | Distributor's supervisor, with photo |
| Poster with suggested price | Traditional | Agency | Print supplier | Distributor's rep | Outlet sampling by the brand |
| Negotiated space or end cap | Modern | Brand marketing | Per agreement with the chain | Chain or merchandiser | Chain report and spot-check visit |
The column that usually stays empty is the last one. Without verification, point-of-sale material is spending taken on faith. In our division of roles, the client decides what gets invested, we lead and set the standard, and third parties execute: the agency designs, suppliers produce, the distributor or merchandisers install. Verification is designed from the start and goes into the action sheet for each piece.
Two practical criteria. The traditional-trade kit is designed for the real counter of a colmado and tested in a few outlets before the print run. And the print run is sized by wave, not by country.
06Traditional trade and modern trade: two different launches
Treating the colmado and the supermarket as two outlets of the same launch is a conceptual mistake. They are two launches with different logic, and the plan has to recognize that in its structure.
| Dimension | Traditional trade | Modern trade |
|---|---|---|
| Who decides on listing | The colmado owner or the wholesaler, influenced by the distributor's rep | The chain's buying department, using category criteria |
| How you get listed | Relationship, credit, expected sales velocity and margin | Commercial negotiation, listing terms and a support plan |
| What drives the consumer's purchase | Availability, price, small format and the colmado owner's recommendation | Shelf visibility, price against the competition and promotion |
| Pace | Fast to open, slow to consolidate | Slow to open, fast to measure |
| Point-of-sale materials | Small, durable, with visible price | Per chain rules, negotiated spaces |
| Available data | Scarce: depends on the distributor and sampling | Richer: chain reports and audits |
| Typical risk | Stockouts and an uncontrolled shelf price | Returns and delisting for low sales velocity |
Each channel needs its own wave, its own KPIs and its own owner. In traditional trade, the job is to earn the colmado owner's recommendation and guarantee replenishment. In modern trade, it is to hit the sales velocity the chain expects before it reviews the assortment. Entering modern trade first because it is easier to measure is reasonable. But if the product lives on daily neighborhood consumption, traditional trade cannot be the second wave that never arrives.
The local layer captures these differences without changing the method: same plan, different vocabulary, different decision-makers, different buying rhythm by channel and by zone.
07Activation in waves
Activating in waves means switching on segments, zones and channels in a set order, with a measurable condition for moving from one wave to the next. It is the activation sequence applied to a launch. From Ansoff it takes the question of what kind of move this is: a known product in a new channel, a new product in the usual channel, or both, which carries the most risk. From AARRR it takes the stage-by-stage order, with a limit: AARRR was built for digital products, and in physical consumer goods the stages are coverage, display, sales velocity and repeat orders.
A typical three-wave sequence
- Wave 1: controlled test. One zone, one channel, one distributor. Deliverable: coverage achieved, verified display and a first read on sales velocity.
- Wave 2: extending the proven channel. Same logic in a second zone or in the second channel, with the kit and the price adjusted. Deliverable: comparison with wave 1 and a decision on national rollout.
- Wave 3: rollout. Remaining priority zones and channels, with the widest-reach communication. Deliverable: dashboard by zone and channel.
Conditions for moving to the next wave
The condition is written before you start and signed by leadership. For example: wave 2 starts when wave 1 has reached its coverage target, verified display exceeds the agreed threshold in the outlet sample, and outlets have reordered in at least two visit cycles. The specific thresholds depend on the category and are set against the baseline, not with benchmark figures from other markets.
If the condition is not met, you do not move to the next wave. The period committee decides what gets corrected. This is the hardest rule to hold, because the pressure to go national always shows up in week two.
08Sell-in and sell-out baseline and KPIs
Sell-in is what the brand sells to the distributor or the chain. Sell-out is what the outlet sells to the consumer. In a launch, sell-in arrives fast: the distributor's opening order and the chains' first purchase show up in first-month invoicing. Sell-out takes longer, and it is the only one that tells you whether the product works. A launch judged on sell-in is celebrating inventory moved from one warehouse to another.
The signed baseline fixes the starting point before the first order. A new product has no prior sales, but it still has a baseline: the distributor's current coverage in the zone, the category's presence in outlets, the price of the alternatives and, if the brand already exists, sales of its other SKUs in those same outlets.
Launch KPI dashboard
| KPI | Type | What it measures | Source | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Distributor orders and reorders | Sell-in | The distributor's purchases from the brand | Own invoicing | Weekly |
| Numeric distribution | Coverage | Outlets carrying the product over the target universe | Distributor data and sampling | Per visit cycle |
| Verified display | Execution | Outlets with materials installed and visible price | Photo audit | Weekly in wave 1 |
| Stockouts | Execution | Outlets listing the product but with no stock | Sampling or chain report | Weekly |
| Outlet sales to consumers | Sell-out | Sales velocity on the shelf or at the counter | Chain reports, distributor data or a panel if one exists | Weekly or monthly |
| Outlet reorders | Indirect sell-out | Colmados and stores that order again | Distributor data | Per visit cycle |
| Distributor inventory | Channel health | Days of inventory of the product in its warehouse | Distributor data | Every two weeks |
In traditional trade, direct sell-out data is rarely available; colmado reorders are the best proxy. And sell-in that grows while reorders stay flat is the clearest warning sign: the channel is filling up, not selling. If a KPI has no source and no data owner, it does not go on the dashboard.
Results against baseline
Signed baseline
Result
Committee
Committee
Committee
Periods →
09A typical calendar with milestones
Timelines depend on the category, on whether the product is imported or made in the country and on the chains' own schedules. This table is an order of work, with weeks counted relative to launch day. It is not a commitment on duration. Use it as a template and adjust the weeks to your case.
| Timing | Milestone | Deliverable | Owner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks -16 to -12 | Diagnostic and entry segment | Prioritized segments and starting zone signed off | General management |
| Weeks -12 to -10 | Channel and distributor | Chosen distributor and joint launch plan | Sales director |
| Weeks -10 to -8 | Price and margins | Final price waterfall and promotion policy | General management and finance |
| Weeks -10 to -6 | Pitch to chains | Proposal to buyers with a support plan | Sales director |
| Weeks -8 to -4 | Point-of-sale materials | Kit by channel tested in pilot outlets and wave 1 print run | Marketing and agency |
| Week -4 | Baseline | Signed baseline for coverage, category and price | General management |
| Weeks -3 to -1 | Sales force | Training for the distributor's reps and sales talk tracks | Sales director |
| Week 0 | Wave 1 goes live | Product at the point of sale with verified display | Distributor and merchandisers |
| Weeks 1 to 6 | Weekly tracking | KPI dashboard and corrections | Launch owner |
| Weeks 6 to 8 | Wave 1 committee | Decision to proceed, correct or stop | Period committee |
| Weeks 8 to 16 | Wave 2 | Extension with adjusted kit and price | Per plan |
| After wave 2 | Rollout committee | Decision on wave 3 and budget for the period | General management |
The milestone that slips most often is the pitch to chains, because its calendar does not depend on the brand. Start it with the price waterfall still in draft.
10Common mistakes and what causes them
Launching across the whole country at once
The cause is usually pressure from the opening order: the distributor offers national coverage and leadership does not want to waste it. The result is no zone executed well and no clear read on what worked.
Judging the launch by the first order
First-month sell-in is high by definition: it fills the channel. If the committee looks only at invoicing, it approves expansion right when the product is sitting in distributors' warehouses. The cause is not having agreed on sell-out and reorders as KPIs before launch.
Assuming the distributor will push
A distributor pushes whatever earns it margin with little effort. A new brand is effort. If the price waterfall does not leave it a competitive margin, or if its sales force has no incentive tied to the new brand, the product stays in the catalog and never makes the route.
Having no rule for stopping
Nobody defines which result would halt the second wave. Without that rule, inertia takes over and the whole budget gets spent. The cause is a plan with launch milestones but no gating conditions.
11An illustrative scenario
Take a hypothetical food company launching a sauce in two sizes. Leadership wants to go national with its usual distributor and a media campaign.
Applying the sequence, the first decision narrows the scope. The small size goes into traditional trade in a Cibao zone where the distributor visits frequently, and the large size into two chains in Greater Santo Domingo. The price waterfall shows that the colmado's margin on the small size falls below the category's, so the size is adjusted before the list price is set, instead of offsetting the gap with promotions.
The condition for moving to wave 2 is written down before launch. The national campaign is held for wave 3, when there is product where it will be advertised. Whatever the outcome, it is read against the baseline and decided in committee.
12What to do this week
- Write your entry segment in one sentence, with buyer, channel and zone. If it does not fit in one sentence, it is not decided yet.
- Ask your candidate distributor for its route map with visit frequencies and compare it with the zone you want to activate first.
- Fill in this guide's price waterfall backward from the consumer price, with your numbers. Mark in red every link you do not know.
- List the planned point-of-sale pieces and fill in who produces, who installs and who verifies each one. The empty cells are your pending work.
- Define the baseline before the first order: which coverage, which alternative prices and which reference sales you will use as the starting point, and who signs off on each data point.